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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

16th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

✈️ GMR Airports: Multi-Signal Confirmation on a Structural Turnaround

GMRAIRPORT
GMR Airports is quietly setting up a high-probability continuation structure, where price, structure, and fundamentals are aligning. 📐 Elliott Wave Perspective The recent advance from sub-₹90 levels appears to be Wave 1 (impulse). The current rounded pullback and recovery forms a classic Wave 2 correction — shallow in price but extended in time. Price holding above key averages suggests Wave 3 preparation, which is typically the strongest and fastest wave. 👉 Importantly, Wave 2 has respected higher lows, indicating trend strength, not exhaustion. 📊 Momentum & MACD Read MACD shows bullish divergence: price made a marginal lower low, but momentum did not. This loss of downside momentum near the bottom of the cup signals seller exhaustion. The recent green candles confirm momentum turning back in favor of bulls. 📍 AVWAP & Moving Average Confluence AVWAP from the prior swing low is acting as a dynamic demand zone. Price has reclaimed and is sustaining above the 26–52 EMA cluster, which often works as trend validation in emerging up-moves. This confluence strengthens the probability that the pullback phase is complete. 🧠 Structure Insight The price action forms a rounded base / cup-like structure, which reflects: Gradual absorption of supply Lack of aggressive selling Institutional accumulation over time Such structures usually resolve upwards, not sideways. 🏗️ Fundamental Tailwinds GMR Airports benefits from: Rising passenger traffic and operating leverage Long-duration infrastructure assets with improving cash flows Gradual balance-sheet normalization after heavy capex years As earnings visibility improves, markets tend to re-rate infrastructure plays early, before numbers peak.

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