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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

3rd Feb Β· SEBI-Registered Analyst

Gokaldas Exports: Long-Term AVWAP Test β†’ Make-or-Break Zone πŸ”

GOKEX
Big Picture Structure: Gokaldas delivered a massive multi-year impulsive rally from 2020 to 2024, clearly a strong primary uptrend. However, after peaking near the β‚Ή1,100–1,200 zone, price entered a sharp corrective phase, wiping out momentum quickly β€” a classic post-euphoria cleanup. Elliott Wave Context: The entire rally from 2020 lows appears to be a complete 5-wave impulsive structure. πŸ‘‰ The ongoing fall fits well with a higher-degree corrective Wave A–B–C, where: Wave A: Sharp fall from the top Wave B: Volatile retracement and distribution Wave C: Now testing long-term value Importantly, Wave C often terminates near long-term VWAP / AVWAP zones. AVWAP (From 2020 Lows): This is the most powerful signal on the chart. Price is now exactly at the AVWAP drawn from 2020 accumulation levels (~β‚Ή520–540). πŸ“Œ This represents: Institutional cost basis Fair value of the entire bull cycle A zone where strong hands typically re-enter if the trend is to survive Price Behaviour & Momentum (MACD Lens): Momentum clearly peaked well before price highs, suggesting bearish divergence on higher timeframes. The current strong green candle after a deep fall hints at early stabilization, but confirmation is still pending.

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