Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 20th Feb
Hero MotoCorp Limited
HEROMOTOCO
Lower High Formation – Breakdown Below 5,450 Trigger?
Timeframe: Daily
CMP: ₹5,417
Structure Bias: Bearish continuation
📉 Price Structure – Clear Distribution
What we see on chart:
• Strong rally till ₹6,350
• Series of lower highs after that
• Recent rejection near ₹5,900
• Now trading near ₹5,400 support
This is a lower high – lower high – breakdown setup.
₹5,450 was prior demand zone.
Now price is slipping below it.
🌊 Elliott Wave Interpretation
Likely count:
Wave (1): ₹4,700 → ₹6,350
Wave (2): Correction phase unfolding
Current move appears as Wave C of correction
If Wave C equals Wave A,
downside projection aligns near:
➡ ₹5,000–₹5,050
Which matches your marked arrow zone.
📊 Momentum Behavior
Observations:
✔ Failure to sustain above ₹5,800
✔ Sharp bearish candle near ₹5,900
✔ Weak bounce, followed by selling pressure
Momentum is rolling over.
Break of ₹5,350 can accelerate downside.
📌 AVWAP Logic
Anchored from recent swing high (~₹5,900):
• Price trading below anchored resistance
• Pullbacks failing near supply
• No strong reclaim candle yet
₹5,600 now becomes supply zone.
Unless price closes above ₹5,650, rallies likely to get sold into.
🎯 Key Levels
Resistance:
₹5,550–₹5,600
₹5,800
Support:
₹5,300
₹5,000 (measured move zone)
₹4,850 (extended support)