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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

27th Feb · SEBI-Registered Analyst

ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited (Weekly Chart)

ICICIPRULI
CMP: ~₹675 Structure: Large Rounding Base (Cup) Neckline Resistance: ₹680–₹690 🟢 Big Picture This is a textbook multi-quarter rounding bottom. Base low: ~₹540 Gradual higher lows Price now approaching neckline near ₹690 This is a structural reversal attempt after a long corrective phase. 📐 Measured Move Cup depth ≈ ₹140–₹150 Breakout projection: ₹690 + ₹145 ≈ 🎯 ₹830–₹845 That aligns well with your blue projection zone (~₹840). Potential upside: ~20–22%. 🔥 Why This Setup Is Attractive ✔ Long consolidation (stronger base = stronger breakout) ✔ Smooth curvature (no unstable spikes) ✔ Financial sector rotation active ✔ Weekly candles showing momentum build-up This is not a momentum spike — this is accumulation. ⚠️ Critical Level ₹690 weekly close is key. Weekly close above ₹690 = confirmed breakout Rejection here = more time inside ₹600–₹690 range This level has historical supply. 📊 Key Levels Immediate Support: ₹650 Major Support: ₹620 Structural Support: ₹580 Invalidation: Weekly close below ₹600 weakens bullish thesis. 🧠 Compared to Other Financials You Shared Bandhan Bank Limited → early rectangle breakout Axis Bank Limited → trending ICICI Pru Life → breakout pending, but structure larger This one offers slower but potentially cleaner 20% move. 📈 If Breakout Sustains Targets: 1️⃣ ₹730 (minor resistance) 2️⃣ ₹780 3️⃣ ₹830–₹845 (measured move) If financials remain strong, extension toward ₹880 is possible later. 🎯 Strategy View Aggressive: Partial entry near ₹680 with tight stop Conservative: Wait for weekly close above ₹690 Best R:R: Breakout → Pullback → Continuation

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