Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 2nd Jan
🏦 IDBI Bank – Weekly Chart | Structural Breakout Analysis
IDBI
🧠 Big Structure
Timeframe: Weekly
Pattern: Large Cup Formation (12–15 months)
Neckline / Supply: ₹107–109
Current Close: ~₹108.8 (weekly)
This is not a news-based spike — it’s a base → expansion transition.
☕ Cup Anatomy (Why This Is Powerful)
Left Side
Rally into ₹105–110 zone (early 2024)
Strong rejection → distribution
Base
Deep rounded bottom near ₹70–75
Multiple tests = absorption
Price respected 200-week MA (red line) → long-term support confirmed
Right Side
Higher lows from ₹75 → ₹95 → ₹105
Smooth curvature = institutional accumulation
🚀 Breakout Quality
✅ Weekly close at resistance
✅ Volume expansion (73M+)
✅ Above long-term MA
✅ No sharp selling wicks
This is acceptance above supply, not false breakout behaviour.
🎯 Targets (Measured Move)
Cup depth ≈ ₹35–38
Level Significance
₹107–109 Breakout & retest zone
₹120–125 Target 1
₹135–145 Target 2 (your marked zone – perfect)
₹155+ Stretch target if PSU banks trend
Your ₹144–146 projection is technically justified.
🛑 Risk & Trade Management
Best Approach (Positional)
Accumulate on dips ₹103–106
Add on weekly hold above ₹110
Invalidation
Weekly close below ₹95
Structural failure only below ₹85
No need for tight SLs — this is weekly structure trade.
🧩 Sector Context (Very Important)
PSU banks in re-rating phase
IDBI special situation (stake sale / strategic interest)
High public participation → momentum friendly
Structure + theme + liquidity = ideal positional bet