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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

23rd Jun 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🎨 Indigo Paints at a Potential Inflection Point! Multiple Bullish Signals Aligning

INDIGOPNTS
🔹 Technical Analysis Overview ✅ 1. Falling Wedge + Accumulation Base Price has been consolidating within a falling wedge structure, bounded by strong support near ₹900–₹950 and resistance around ₹1700. This pattern typically precedes bullish breakouts, especially when supported by other indicators. Recent price action shows a breakout attempt from the lower trendline, suggesting a reversal from accumulation. ✅ 2. MACD Strong Bullish Divergence On the weekly chart, MACD is forming a higher low while price was forming lower lows — a clear bullish divergence. MACD crossover has occurred below the zero line and momentum histogram has turned positive — indicating early trend reversal. MACD lines are sharply rising, which confirms strength in buying pressure. 🔹 Volume & AVWAP Observations Volume is starting to rise near the base, indicating smart money accumulation. Although AVWAP isn't shown explicitly, based on price levels, anchored VWAP from IPO/top zones likely aligns near ₹1600–₹1700 — a critical breakout zone in future rallies. 🔹 Fundamental Tailwinds Debt-free company with high operating leverage in a growing sector (paints). Strong brand presence in Tier-2 & Tier-3 markets, giving it a niche edge. ROCE consistently over 18%+, and net profit margins improving with scale. Beneficiary of increased real estate activity and government’s infra push. 🎯 Outlook & Targets Short-term resistance: ₹1250–₹1350 Medium-term breakout zone: ₹1600–₹1700 Post-breakout potential upside: ₹2000+, backed by bullish technical structure and clean fundamentals. 📌 Conclusion Indigo Paints is showing signs of a base formation reversal, with: A bullish wedge pattern, MACD divergence, And fundamental resilience.

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