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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

4th Jan · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🏦 Jammu & Kashmir Bank – Weekly Chart | Range Compression After Big Trend

J&KBANK
🧠 Big Picture First Massive uptrend from ₹20 → ₹150 (2020–2024) That move already completed a full impulsive cycle What you’re seeing now is time correction, not price destruction Strong stocks correct sideways, weak ones correct downwards. 📦 Current Structure (Your Box is Accurate) Range: Resistance: ₹115–118 Support: ₹90–92 Current price: ~₹102 This is a well-defined accumulation box. ✔️ No lower lows ✔️ Buyers defending ₹90 repeatedly ✔️ Volatility compression All signs of absorption of supply. 🔍 Why This Is Constructive (Not Bearish) 1️⃣ Prior trend was strong → consolidation likely bullish 2️⃣ Volume has cooled → selling pressure exhausted 3️⃣ No weekly close below ₹90 → trend still intact 4️⃣ Banking PSU theme still alive (rotation possible) This is base-building after distribution, not distribution itself. 📈 Trade Scenarios 🔵 Bullish Breakout Plan Trigger: Weekly close above ₹118 Targets: ₹135 (range height projection) ₹150 (retest of highs) ₹165–170 (extension if PSU banks run) 🟡 Range Play (Safer) Accumulate near ₹92–95 Partial booking near ₹115 🔴 Invalidation Weekly close below ₹88 That would confirm failed base → deeper correction to ₹70 🧾 Client-Friendly Explanation “J&K Bank is consolidating after a strong rally. Such sideways ranges often act as launchpads for the next leg, provided price breaks above ₹118 on weekly closing basis.” 🔥 Final Verdict Structure: Neutral → Bullish Stage: Accumulation (Phase 3 → Phase 4 transition) Risk: Clearly defined Patience needed: Yes

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