Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 4th Jan
🏦 Jammu & Kashmir Bank – Weekly Chart | Range Compression After Big Trend
J&KBANK
🧠 Big Picture First
Massive uptrend from ₹20 → ₹150 (2020–2024)
That move already completed a full impulsive cycle
What you’re seeing now is time correction, not price destruction
Strong stocks correct sideways, weak ones correct downwards.
📦 Current Structure (Your Box is Accurate)
Range:
Resistance: ₹115–118
Support: ₹90–92
Current price: ~₹102
This is a well-defined accumulation box.
✔️ No lower lows
✔️ Buyers defending ₹90 repeatedly
✔️ Volatility compression
All signs of absorption of supply.
🔍 Why This Is Constructive (Not Bearish)
1️⃣ Prior trend was strong → consolidation likely bullish
2️⃣ Volume has cooled → selling pressure exhausted
3️⃣ No weekly close below ₹90 → trend still intact
4️⃣ Banking PSU theme still alive (rotation possible)
This is base-building after distribution, not distribution itself.
📈 Trade Scenarios
🔵 Bullish Breakout Plan
Trigger: Weekly close above ₹118
Targets:
₹135 (range height projection)
₹150 (retest of highs)
₹165–170 (extension if PSU banks run)
🟡 Range Play (Safer)
Accumulate near ₹92–95
Partial booking near ₹115
🔴 Invalidation
Weekly close below ₹88
That would confirm failed base → deeper correction to ₹70
🧾 Client-Friendly Explanation
“J&K Bank is consolidating after a strong rally. Such sideways ranges often act as launchpads for the next leg, provided price breaks above ₹118 on weekly closing basis.”
🔥 Final Verdict
Structure: Neutral → Bullish
Stage: Accumulation (Phase 3 → Phase 4 transition)
Risk: Clearly defined
Patience needed: Yes