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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

13th Dec · SEBI-Registered Analyst

📊 Jindal Stainless Ltd (Weekly) – Large Cup Breakout Setup

JSL
🟢 1. Structure: Multi-Month Cup Formation Your chart shows a well-defined rounding base: Left Rim: ₹810–820 Bottom: ₹490–510 Right Rim (Resistance): ₹815–820 Current Price: ₹785.65 The structure is clean because: ✔ Smooth, rounded bottom ✔ Time correction > price correction ✔ No distribution at the lows ✔ Rising right-hand side (demand returning) 🔥 2. Breakout Zone & Current Status Key breakout level: ₹817–820 (horizontal resistance) Price has reached the rim but weekly close above resistance is still pending Current candles show tight consolidation near resistance, not rejection 📌 This is pre-breakout compression, which is bullish. 🎯 3. Measured Move Target (Post Breakout) Cup depth: ₹820 – ₹495 ≈ ₹325 Conservative projection (50–60% of depth): ➡ ₹980–1,000 Aggressive full projection: ➡ ₹1,130–1,150 Your marked projection to ~₹1,000 is perfectly realistic and conservative. 🧠 4. Why This Setup Is Strong Stainless steel cycle improving Strong volume expansion on right side of cup Sectoral tailwind (metals + infra demand) Institutions typically accumulate below ATH resistance, not above it Price holding well above long-term mean (no breakdown risk) This is a classic “buy near resistance before expansion” setup. 🛡️ 5. Risk Management (Very Well Defined) Aggressive Swing Entry Buy: ₹770–790 zone SL: ₹735 Positional Entry (Safer) Buy only after weekly close above ₹820 SL: ₹780 Long-Term Investors SL: ₹700 (structure intact above this) 📌 If price closes below ₹735, structure pauses (not breaks). 🔍 6. Expected Price Behaviour Most likely sequence: 1️⃣ Sideways move between ₹760–820 2️⃣ Volume expansion near resistance 3️⃣ Strong weekly close above ₹820 4️⃣ Fast move to ₹900–950 5️⃣ Then consolidation → next leg towards ₹1,000+ This stock is coiling, not topping.

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