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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

18th Nov · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🚀 Jindal Stainless – Multi-Timeframe Cup Breakout Setup with Strong Structural Confluence

JSL
1. Elliott Wave Structure The long corrective phase from the 2024 peak has formed a higher-timeframe Wave 4 in the shape of a broad rounded base. Price is now approaching the neckline around ₹815–₹820, the zone that typically triggers the start of a Wave 5 expansion. The depth and duration of this cup-like structure increase the probability of a powerful breakout. 2. MACD Divergence (Bullish) During the bottoming phase near ₹515, momentum indicators showed a higher low on MACD even as price remained suppressed. This bullish divergence suggested exhaustion in selling pressure. As price accelerates toward the neckline, MACD momentum is rising again, supporting a potential trend continuation move. 3. AVWAP as Dynamic Support AVWAP drawn from the previous major swing high tracks closely with the right side of the cup, acting as a dynamic demand zone near ₹700–₹720. Recent rebounds from this cluster highlight strong institutional accumulation. A sustained move above ₹820 would convert both the neckline and AVWAP zone into multi-week support, clearing the path to ₹1,000. 4. Fundamental Strength Jindal Stainless maintains robust operational performance with healthy margins, consistent volume growth, and improved debt metrics. The company’s leadership in stainless steel, strong order book visibility, and structurally rising domestic demand reinforce long-term fundamental durability. These fundamentals support technical breakout patterns playing out fully. Conclusion JSL is positioned for a high-probability breakout with a weekly cup formation, bullish momentum shift, and AVWAP-backed demand all aligning at the same time. A decisive weekly close above ₹820 opens room for a ~20–23% upside toward the ₹1,000 mark, consistent with a Wave 5 continuation rally.

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