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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

4th Dec ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿ“Œ Kotak Bank at a Major Breakout Zone โ€” Big Move Loading?

KOTAKBANK
The monthly chart of Kotak Mahindra Bank is showing a multi-year consolidation just below a strong resistance zone โ€” the kind of structural behavior seen before long-term trending moves. ๐Ÿ” Technical Breakdown ๐Ÿ“ Multi-Year Range: Price has been stuck in a broad consolidation box between โ‚น1,600 (base support) and โ‚น2,250 (major resistance) for nearly 3+ years. Such long consolidations often precede large directional moves. ๐Ÿ“ Higher-Low Structure Inside Range: Recent candles show price defending the mid-range supports and forming higher lows โ€” a bullish compression pattern. ๐Ÿ“ 200-MA (Long-Term Trend Bias): Price remains comfortably above the long-term average line, indicating the bigger trend is still bullish, despite sideways movement. ๐Ÿ“ Breakout Attempt Spot: Price is again testing the โ‚น2,250 zone, which previously rejected multiple times. A monthly close above โ‚น2,260โ€“2,300 may trigger: โžก๏ธ fresh institutional buying โžก๏ธ trend continuation โžก๏ธ long-term rerating move ๐Ÿง  Chart Psychology This structure reflects: Smart money accumulation Weak hands exiting during long consolidation Market preparing for the next bigger cycle Multi-year horizontal consolidations are rare โ€” when they break, moves are usually strong and sustainable.

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