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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

10th Jul 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

LEMON TREE HOTELS LTD – Ready for a Breakout After Healthy Consolidation 🏨📈

LEMONTREE
📌 Technical Analysis Summary: ✅ Strong Base Formation in a Rectangle Pattern The stock has been consolidating within a broad rectangle zone of ₹125–₹158 for over 12 months, forming a classic base pattern. This long-term consolidation builds energy for a potential breakout rally. ✅ Support from Long-Term AVWAP Both the AVWAP from breakout and recent swing low (shown as blue bands) are rising steadily, and the price has respected these zones multiple times — validating them as dynamic support levels. ✅ Near Top of the Range – Breakout Watch Price action is now approaching the upper resistance (~₹158) of the box. A weekly close above ₹158–₹160 could trigger a fresh rally backed by volumes and accumulation. 🔍 Fundamental Snapshot: ✅ India’s leading mid-market hotel chain with expanding footprint ✅ Strong post-COVID revpar recovery and operational profitability ✅ Backed by reputed institutional investors ✅ Room capacity & occupancy improving, strong Q-o-Q financial recovery 🧠 Elliott Wave Insight: Wave-wise, current range-bound move appears as a Wave 4 flat correction, and Wave 5 could trigger upon breakout — opening higher upside levels in line with the previous impulsive leg. 🔑 Key Levels: Support: ₹125 (range bottom) Immediate Resistance: ₹158 (range top) Breakout Trigger Zone: ₹160+ on closing basis Potential Targets: ₹180 / ₹205 on breakout continuation ✅ Conclusion: Lemon Tree is a textbook “base ready for lift-off” setup, supported by both price structure and rising AVWAPs. With strong fundamentals and improving tourism/hotel trends, it’s positioned for momentum entry post-breakout.

#Today’sTradingSetup#WatchOutFor#TechnicalViews#FundamentalViews#TrendingSectors
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