Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 19th Nov
📌 Long-Term Breakout Setup Emerging in M&M Financial Services
M&MFIN
🧩 Technical Structure
1. Elliott Wave Outlook
The stock has completed a five-wave impulsive rise from 2020–2023, followed by a broad Wave-4 sideways correction lasting nearly 2 years. The price is now testing the upper boundary of this corrective range, indicating the beginning of Wave-5 expansion if a breakout sustains.
2. Major Consolidation Zone
Price has been range-bound between ₹250 – ₹340, forming a large rectangular base. Multi-month bases often result in strong directional moves once breakout occurs.
3. MACD Structure
On higher timeframes, MACD shows bullish momentum rebuilding with a rising histogram—often seen before a range breakout.
4. AVWAP Support
The long-term AVWAP from the 2020 lows is steadily rising and currently below the price, indicating institutional cost support and a favourable trend backdrop.
📈 Fundamental Strength
Consistent improvement in AUM growth and disbursements over recent quarters.
Strong position in rural & semi-urban financing.
Balance sheet quality improving with better asset quality metrics and controlled NPAs.
Stable business model that supports long-term compounding.
🎯 What This Setup Indicates
A monthly candle close above ₹340 can unlock a multi-month rally supported by:
✔ Long-term base breakout
✔ Elliott Wave Wave-5 potential
✔ MACD bullish momentum
✔ Strong AVWAP trend
✔ Improving fundamentals
This is a high-quality long-term accumulation zone as long as the price sustains above the mid-range support.