Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 27th Jun
Looking only at the monthly timeframe, this has the potential to become a major multi-year trend continuation if it confirms.
GOKEX
1. Elliott Wave Structure Looks Logical
Your labeling is fairly clean.
Wave I: 2020–2022
Wave II: 2022 correction
Wave III: 2023–2024 impulsive rally
Wave IV: 2025–2026 deep correction
Potential Wave V: Beginning now
This is exactly what you'd like to see after a large secular advance.
2. Wave IV Correction is Healthy
Notice several positives:
Correction lasted almost 18 months
Didn't violate the long-term uptrend
Price respected the long-term moving average
Selling pressure gradually reduced
This is characteristic of institutional distribution ending and accumulation beginning.
3. Long-Term Moving Average Support
The green moving average (looks like 30/40-month or similar) has acted as dynamic support.
Price has bounced precisely where long-term investors generally accumulate.
That is bullish.
4. Higher Low Formation
Previous major low:
≈ ₹530
Recent low:
≈ ₹560
Higher lows on the monthly chart are one of the strongest long-term bullish characteristics.