Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) ยท 13th Sep
Lupin Ltd: Wave 3 Rally Brewing After Strong Base Formation ๐๐
LUPIN
๐น Technical Structure
Elliott Wave: Wave (1) impulse was followed by a deep corrective Wave (2). The price is now consolidating in a rectangle base between โน1820โโน2130, preparing for the start of Wave (3), which usually delivers the sharpest rally.
MACD Divergence: On the daily chart, momentum is strengthening โ MACD is curling up while price is still near support, hinting at a bullish divergence.
AVWAP Levels: Anchored VWAP from the all-time high is now acting as a support near โน1820. Holding above this level gives conviction that downside is limited.
Breakout Zone: A close above โน2130 will confirm entry into Wave (3), opening the path toward โน2400โโน2500+.
๐น Fundamental Strength
Robust Financials: Lupin has shown consistent revenue and EBITDA growth over the past few quarters.
High ROCE: Capital-efficient business model with improving margins in export markets.
Strong Pharma Demand: Benefiting from steady demand in both US generics and India formulations.
Debt Reduction: The company has been reducing leverage, strengthening balance sheet health.