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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

13th Sep ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

Lupin Ltd: Wave 3 Rally Brewing After Strong Base Formation ๐Ÿ’Š๐Ÿš€

LUPIN
๐Ÿ”น Technical Structure Elliott Wave: Wave (1) impulse was followed by a deep corrective Wave (2). The price is now consolidating in a rectangle base between โ‚น1820โ€“โ‚น2130, preparing for the start of Wave (3), which usually delivers the sharpest rally. MACD Divergence: On the daily chart, momentum is strengthening โ€” MACD is curling up while price is still near support, hinting at a bullish divergence. AVWAP Levels: Anchored VWAP from the all-time high is now acting as a support near โ‚น1820. Holding above this level gives conviction that downside is limited. Breakout Zone: A close above โ‚น2130 will confirm entry into Wave (3), opening the path toward โ‚น2400โ€“โ‚น2500+. ๐Ÿ”น Fundamental Strength Robust Financials: Lupin has shown consistent revenue and EBITDA growth over the past few quarters. High ROCE: Capital-efficient business model with improving margins in export markets. Strong Pharma Demand: Benefiting from steady demand in both US generics and India formulations. Debt Reduction: The company has been reducing leverage, strengthening balance sheet health.

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