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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

4th May · SEBI-Registered Analyst

🟢 Massive Cup Formation Near Breakout — HFCL Preparing for Trend Reversal Rally!

HFCL
📊 Technical + Structural Analysis HFCL is displaying a powerful long-term reversal setup with price approaching a major breakout zone after months of accumulation. 🌊 Elliott Wave Perspective The stock seems to have completed a deep corrective structure after the previous impulsive rally. The rounded base suggests completion of a Wave 2 / Wave 4 corrective phase, depending on the broader cycle. Current sharp upmove indicates the beginning of a fresh impulsive Wave 1 / Wave 3, which often carries strong momentum. A decisive breakout above ₹120 can trigger the next expansion leg toward ₹135–₹140+. 📉 MACD Insight Momentum likely shifted bullish after prolonged compression. The sharp rally from lower levels suggests a bullish MACD crossover with increasing momentum strength. Since the breakout is still emerging, there is no visible bearish divergence, which supports continuation. 📍 AVWAP Confluence The ₹118–₹120 zone is acting as a major AVWAP resistance cluster from prior distribution highs. Price is now testing this level after building a strong rounded accumulation base. A successful breakout can convert this zone into high-conviction AVWAP support. 🧠 Price Action Context Clear cup formation on higher timeframe = strong accumulation structure Sharp vertical recovery into resistance = renewed buying interest Price compression just below breakout zone = energy build-up for expansion 📈 Fundamental Snapshot Strong positioning in telecom infrastructure, optical fiber, and network solutions Beneficiary of 5G rollout, defense electronics, and digital infrastructure spending Business visibility supported by government-led capex themes Improving operational outlook with sector tailwinds ⚖️ Conclusion Short-term: Breakout watch above ₹120 Medium-term: Bullish reversal structure intact Upside potential: ₹135–₹140+ Key support: ₹100–₹105 zone 👉 This is a high-momentum breakout candidate with favorable risk-reward if price sustains above resistance.

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