Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 4th May
🟢 Massive Cup Formation Near Breakout — HFCL Preparing for Trend Reversal Rally!
HFCL
📊 Technical + Structural Analysis
HFCL is displaying a powerful long-term reversal setup with price approaching a major breakout zone after months of accumulation.
🌊 Elliott Wave Perspective
The stock seems to have completed a deep corrective structure after the previous impulsive rally.
The rounded base suggests completion of a Wave 2 / Wave 4 corrective phase, depending on the broader cycle.
Current sharp upmove indicates the beginning of a fresh impulsive Wave 1 / Wave 3, which often carries strong momentum.
A decisive breakout above ₹120 can trigger the next expansion leg toward ₹135–₹140+.
📉 MACD Insight
Momentum likely shifted bullish after prolonged compression.
The sharp rally from lower levels suggests a bullish MACD crossover with increasing momentum strength.
Since the breakout is still emerging, there is no visible bearish divergence, which supports continuation.
📍 AVWAP Confluence
The ₹118–₹120 zone is acting as a major AVWAP resistance cluster from prior distribution highs.
Price is now testing this level after building a strong rounded accumulation base.
A successful breakout can convert this zone into high-conviction AVWAP support.
🧠 Price Action Context
Clear cup formation on higher timeframe = strong accumulation structure
Sharp vertical recovery into resistance = renewed buying interest
Price compression just below breakout zone = energy build-up for expansion
📈 Fundamental Snapshot
Strong positioning in telecom infrastructure, optical fiber, and network solutions
Beneficiary of 5G rollout, defense electronics, and digital infrastructure spending
Business visibility supported by government-led capex themes
Improving operational outlook with sector tailwinds
⚖️ Conclusion
Short-term: Breakout watch above ₹120
Medium-term: Bullish reversal structure intact
Upside potential: ₹135–₹140+
Key support: ₹100–₹105 zone
👉 This is a high-momentum breakout candidate with favorable risk-reward if price sustains above resistance.