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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

18th Jul · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Motilal Oswal Financial Services: Multi-Signal Breakout on a Fundamentally Strong Business! 📈🚀

MOTILALOFS
Technical View 🌊 Elliott Wave Structure The rounded Cup formation appears to have completed a corrective Wave (2)/(4). The breakout above ₹900 signals the beginning of a potential impulsive Wave (3)/(5), which is often the strongest phase of the Elliott Wave cycle. The current consolidation resembles a continuation pattern before the next leg higher. 📊 MACD Perspective The strong rally from the lows is likely accompanied by a bullish MACD crossover, with momentum remaining in positive territory. The absence of any meaningful bearish divergence suggests the primary trend continues to favor the bulls. 📍 AVWAP Analysis The stock has successfully reclaimed and sustained above the AVWAP zone around ₹900, converting a major resistance into support. As long as prices remain above this level, the probability of continuation toward higher levels remains favorable. Fundamental Strength Motilal Oswal Financial Services continues to benefit from strong structural tailwinds: Robust growth in wealth management, broking, asset management, and housing finance businesses. Consistent earnings growth supported by increasing retail participation in financial markets. Healthy return ratios and strong capital allocation backed by an asset-light business model. Well-diversified financial services platform with multiple revenue streams, reducing dependence on a single segment. Key Levels to Watch Immediate Support: ₹900–₹905 (breakout and AVWAP support) Next Support: ₹875–₹880 Potential Upside: ₹1,000–₹1,050 if the consolidation resolves with strong volume. Conclusion The chart is displaying multiple bullish confirmations—a completed Cup & Handle breakout, a favorable Elliott Wave setup, bullish MACD momentum, and AVWAP acting as support. Coupled with the company's strong fundamentals and diversified financial services franchise, the stock appears well-positioned for the next phase of its uptrend, provided it continues to hold above the breakout zone.

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