Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 12th Nov
💎 “Multi-Signal Breakout Setup in a Fundamentally Solid Market Leader – CDSL!”
CDSL
Technical Structure
CDSL has been consolidating in a rectangular base between ₹1,495–₹1,665 for over three months, forming a high-probability breakout structure. The stock is now showing strong momentum near the upper boundary with renewed buying interest and positive volume expansion.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, this phase appears to be Wave 4 consolidation within a larger impulsive structure. The breakout above ₹1,665 could mark the start of Wave 5, targeting the ₹1,830–₹1,850 zone in the coming weeks.
The MACD has formed a bullish divergence on the daily chart — while prices made equal lows, the MACD histogram formed higher lows — signaling a potential reversal of momentum in favor of the bulls.
The Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) from the previous swing high aligns closely around ₹1,580–₹1,600, providing a dynamic support confluence zone. This reinforces the base and limits downside risk.
Fundamental Strength
CDSL stands as a monopoly-like player in the depository space with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and a clean balance sheet.
Key metrics such as:
ROCE above 25%,
Debt-free status, and
Steady earnings compounding
all point to sustained long-term strength. The company continues to benefit from increasing Demat account openings and the financialization of savings in India.
Conclusion
CDSL presents a multi-signal confirmation setup — with alignment of Elliott structure, MACD momentum, and AVWAP support, backed by strong fundamentals.
A sustained close above ₹1,665 could unlock the next leg toward ₹1,850, with limited downside risk.