Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 13th Dec
⚡ Multi-Signal Breakout Setup on Power Infrastructure Leader
ADANIENSOL
Adani Energy Solutions is showing a high-probability positional setup where price structure, momentum, and fundamentals are aligning.
📈 Technical Structure (Elliott + Price Action)
The stock has completed a large corrective base, forming a double-rounded accumulation structure on the weekly chart.
From an Elliott perspective, this appears to be the end of Wave 2 / complex corrective phase, with price now entering an early Wave 3 expansion zone.
The right side of the structure is rising with higher lows, indicating strong demand absorption.
📊 Momentum Check (MACD)
Weekly MACD has bottomed out and turned upward, indicating positive momentum shift.
The histogram shows bullish divergence versus prior price lows, suggesting selling pressure is exhausted and upside momentum is building.
📐 AVWAP Insight (Institutional Levels)
Price is now holding above long-term AVWAP, which acted as resistance throughout the base.
Sustaining above this AVWAP zone confirms institutional acceptance at higher prices, a key signal before trending moves.
🧮 Key Levels to Track
Acceptance Zone: ₹980–1,000
Breakout Confirmation: Strong weekly close above ₹1,020
Upside Projection: ₹1,240–1,260 (measured move from base)
Structure Support: ₹920–940 (as long as this holds, trend remains intact)
🏗️ Fundamental Strength (Why Structure Matters)
Core player in power transmission & energy infrastructure, a long-cycle business.
Strong order book visibility, asset monetisation focus, and regulated revenue streams add stability.
Capital-intensive businesses often show long bases before sharp re-rating phases — exactly what the chart reflects.
✅ Learning Takeaway
When Elliott structure completion, MACD momentum shift, and AVWAP acceptance align near a long-term base — it often marks the start of a new positional trend, not the end.
This is a structure-led opportunity, not a momentum chase.