Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 4th Sep
📊 Multi-Signal Reversal Setup on Colgate-Palmolive (India)
COLPAL
🔎 Technical Structure
Elliott Wave View: The stock appears to have completed a corrective Wave C decline, finding strong support near the ₹2,280–₹2,300 zone. A fresh impulse wave seems to be building, with the current rally acting as Wave 1.
MACD Divergence: A bullish divergence has formed – while price made equal/lower lows near ₹2,300, the MACD histogram and signal line turned upward, signaling momentum reversal.
AVWAP Levels: Price is attempting to reclaim the anchored VWAP from the last swing high. Sustained trade above ₹2,490 can turn this AVWAP zone into strong support, confirming bullish strength.
Key Levels:
Support: ₹2,300 (structural base)
Resistance: ₹2,490 (immediate) and ₹2,620 (200-DMA zone + major supply)
🏦 Fundamental Backing
ROCE & Efficiency: The company maintains a high ROCE, reflecting efficient capital use compared to peers in the FMCG space.
Profit Growth: Despite recent consolidation, Colgate has shown consistent profit margins and strong free cash flows – providing a solid base for long-term investors.
Balance Sheet Strength: Low debt levels ensure resilience even in volatile conditions.
📈 Summary
The convergence of Elliott Wave impulse formation, MACD bullish divergence, and AVWAP reclaim attempt makes Colgate-Palmolive a strong candidate for a reversal rally. Fundamentally, the stock is backed by high ROCE and consistent profitability, which supports the technical bullish case.