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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

7th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Multi-Year Breakout After Long Consolidation – Structural Bull Run Ahead?

BLISSGVS
The chart reflects a massive multi-year consolidation breakout above ₹210–₹220, marking a significant structural shift from range-bound movement to a potential long-term uptrend. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the prolonged sideways phase from 2016 to 2023 can be interpreted as a large accumulation base (Wave 2 or Wave 4). The recent breakout suggests the initiation of a powerful Wave 3, which is typically the strongest and most extended wave in the cycle. Given the time spent in consolidation, the magnitude of this move could be substantial. On the momentum front, such multi-year breakouts are usually accompanied by a strong bullish MACD expansion, indicating a transition from low momentum to high momentum regime. The sharp upward move with strong candles confirms aggressive buying interest entering the stock. Looking at AVWAP, if anchored from the previous major high (around ₹220 levels from earlier cycles), price has now cleanly broken and sustained above AVWAP, which had acted as a long-term resistance. This zone around ₹210–₹220 now becomes a major support level, and any retest is likely to attract strong buying interest. The breakout from such a wide and long consolidation range significantly increases the probability of a sustained trend rather than a short-term move, as it reflects years of accumulation being released into momentum. From a fundamental standpoint: The company has shown improving business performance in recent years Strong positioning in niche pharma segments with export potential Margin expansion and operational efficiency can drive earnings growth

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