Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) Β· 16th Apr
π₯ Multi-Year Range Breakout β Expansion Phase Just Getting Started!
NLCINDIA
A powerful breakout from a long consolidation zone signals that this stock may be entering a fresh trending phase with strong upside potential.
π Technical + Structural Analysis
The chart clearly shows a multi-month horizontal range, where price was repeatedly facing resistance near the upper band and finding support at lower levels.
Now, with a decisive breakout above resistance, supported by a strong bullish candle, the stock is transitioning from accumulation β expansion.
The measured move projection also indicates a potential upside of ~25β30%, aligning with the height of the range.
π Elliott Wave Perspective
Wave 1β3: Strong impulsive rally before consolidation
Wave 4: Extended sideways correction (range formation)
Wave 5 (triggered): Breakout above resistance, indicating start of next leg
This is a classic continuation pattern after time correction, not price correction β a bullish sign.
π MACD Insight
During the range phase, MACD cooled off without deep bearish divergence
Recently, it likely shows a bullish crossover with expanding histogram
π Momentum is shifting from neutral to bullish β confirming breakout strength
π AVWAP (Anchored VWAP) Insight
Anchoring AVWAP from prior major swing lows shows price respecting it as support throughout consolidation
Breakout is happening well above AVWAP, indicating strong institutional accumulation
π Smart money positioning appears intact
π’ Fundamental Strength (Supporting the Move)
Likely supported by:
Stable earnings visibility (power/energy sector)
Improving margins and operational efficiency
Government-backed business stability
π Strong fundamentals + technical breakout = higher probability setup