Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 16th Feb
Natco Pharma Limited
NATCOPHARM
🔹 Structure Analysis (What the Chart Is Saying)
From recent swing high (~₹950 zone):
Controlled decline into ₹810–820
Formation of a rounded base / saucer pattern
Higher lows developing
Sharp expansion candle reclaiming ₹890 supply
Today’s candle:
✔ Wide range
✔ Strong close near highs
✔ Volume expansion
✔ Breakout above horizontal resistance
This is not a random bounce — this is structure reclaim.
🔹 Elliott Wave View
Short-term structure likely:
Wave A: Sharp drop from ₹950
Wave B: Relief bounce
Wave C: Rounded base completion near ₹810
Now initiating potential Wave 1 of new impulsive leg.
If momentum sustains:
Immediate target: ₹980
Extension: ₹1,020 zone
That aligns with your marked ~9–10% measured move.
🔹 AVWAP Perspective
If anchored from:
Recent swing high (~₹950)
Breakdown pivot (~₹890)
Price has reclaimed the breakdown AVWAP.
This often signals:
✔ Short covering
✔ Fresh institutional entry
✔ Change of polarity
🔹 Volume Confirmation
Volume spike on breakout is critical.
You don’t want low participation breakouts in pharma — they fail quickly.
This one shows:
✔ Above recent average
✔ Strong demand candle
🔹 Key Levels
Immediate Support:
₹890–895 (breakout zone)
Secondary Support:
₹860 (base midpoint)
Structure Failure:
Close below ₹840