Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 1st Oct
Now Axis bank is into radar!
AXISBANK
Key Technical Observations
Broad Consolidation: The stock has been in a sideways-to-corrective pattern since hitting a high around ₹1,350 in mid-2024. The price action since then has been characterized by lower highs and retests of strong support.
Descending Resistance Trendline: A prominent red descending trendline connects the major recent swing highs (around ₹1,350 and ₹1,250). The current price (around ₹1,159) is moving directly towards this trendline, which presents the immediate and most crucial resistance challenge. A breakout above this line would signal a shift in the medium-term trend.
Strong Support Zone: The chart shows solid support established by a horizontal red line and the long-term Moving Average (the thick green line) clustered around the ₹1,000 to ₹1,050 level. This zone acted as a major base during the correction at the start of 2025 and again during the most recent dip.
Long-Term Trend Confirmation (Moving Average): The price is trading above the long-term Moving Average (green line). This is generally a bullish sign for the long term, confirming that despite the correction, the overall structural uptrend remains intact.
Current Status and Next Moves
Recent Recovery: The stock has shown a sharp, bullish bounce from the recent low near the ₹1,070 area, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
Crucial Challenge: The immediate challenge lies in the ₹1,200 to ₹1,250 zone, which contains the descending trendline resistance.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout: A strong weekly close above the descending trendline (likely above ₹1,225) would confirm the end of the consolidation phase and signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, targeting the old high of ₹1,350 and beyond.
Resistance and Retest: A failure to break the trendline could lead to a minor reversal, pushing the price back toward the immediate support levels around ₹1,070 and ultimately retesting the major support zone of ₹1,000 - ₹1,050.