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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

8th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Nykaa – Cup Pattern Breakout with Volume Confirmation

NYKAA
📊 Technical Structure (Weekly Chart) Pattern: Nykaa (FSN E-Commerce Ventures Ltd.) has formed a textbook Cup pattern spanning over 2 years, with a well-defined breakout above the ₹248–₹250 neckline. Breakout Confirmation: Price has closed above the neckline on strong volumes, indicating institutional participation. MACD: Shows a fresh bullish crossover above the zero line, signaling renewed upward momentum. AVWAP: The anchored VWAP from the November 2022 high lies near ₹230, now acting as a strong dynamic support. 🧭 Key Levels Breakout Zone: ₹248–₹250 Immediate Support: ₹230 Next Resistance / Target 1: ₹285 Extended Target 2: ₹315–₹320 Invalidation Level: Below ₹225 on a weekly close 💡 Fundamental Snapshot Nykaa continues to strengthen its position in the beauty and lifestyle e-commerce space: Positive EBITDA margins and improving operational leverage. Expanding offline presence and diversifying into fashion and men’s segments. Debt-free balance sheet and healthy brand recall among Gen Z and millennial consumers. 🎯 View After a prolonged consolidation phase, Nykaa is breaking out of a multi-year base. Sustained price action above ₹250 with strong volumes could trigger a 20–25% upside move in the medium term. Positional investors can accumulate above ₹250 with a stop below ₹225 for potential targets of ₹285 and ₹320.

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