Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 8th Oct
Nykaa – Cup Pattern Breakout with Volume Confirmation
NYKAA
📊 Technical Structure (Weekly Chart)
Pattern: Nykaa (FSN E-Commerce Ventures Ltd.) has formed a textbook Cup pattern spanning over 2 years, with a well-defined breakout above the ₹248–₹250 neckline.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has closed above the neckline on strong volumes, indicating institutional participation.
MACD: Shows a fresh bullish crossover above the zero line, signaling renewed upward momentum.
AVWAP: The anchored VWAP from the November 2022 high lies near ₹230, now acting as a strong dynamic support.
🧭 Key Levels
Breakout Zone: ₹248–₹250
Immediate Support: ₹230
Next Resistance / Target 1: ₹285
Extended Target 2: ₹315–₹320
Invalidation Level: Below ₹225 on a weekly close
💡 Fundamental Snapshot
Nykaa continues to strengthen its position in the beauty and lifestyle e-commerce space:
Positive EBITDA margins and improving operational leverage.
Expanding offline presence and diversifying into fashion and men’s segments.
Debt-free balance sheet and healthy brand recall among Gen Z and millennial consumers.
🎯 View
After a prolonged consolidation phase, Nykaa is breaking out of a multi-year base. Sustained price action above ₹250 with strong volumes could trigger a 20–25% upside move in the medium term.
Positional investors can accumulate above ₹250 with a stop below ₹225 for potential targets of ₹285 and ₹320.