Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 19th Jan
Nykaa: Multi-Signal Breakout Brewing with Strong Fundamentals 🚀
NYKAA
1️⃣ Elliott Wave Structure – Impulsive Trend Resumption
From the weekly structure:
The sharp fall from the IPO highs appears to have completed a 5-wave corrective decline (Wave A).
The long base formed through 2023–24 looks like a Wave B accumulation phase.
The recent strong rally from the ₹120–₹140 zone shows characteristics of a Wave 1 impulse.
The pullbacks around the ₹210–₹230 zone suggest a Wave 2 retracement.
The current upmove breaking higher looks like the start of Wave 3 – the strongest and fastest wave in an Elliott sequence.
📌 Implication: If this is indeed Wave 3, the projected move toward the ₹400+ zone aligns well with the measured projection shown on the chart.
2️⃣ MACD Divergence – Momentum Turning Strongly Bullish
During the 2023 bottom, price made lower lows, but MACD made higher lows, indicating a bullish divergence.
This divergence often marks the end of a downtrend and start of a new cycle.
The MACD crossover visible in 2025 confirms that upside momentum has resumed.
📌 Implication: Momentum now supports continuation of the uptrend rather than reversal.