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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

9th Aug · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Persistent Systems is approaching an interesting setup, but it is not as strong as Mphasis yet. Here's my technical view.

$PERSISTENT Chart Structure Timeframe: 15-minute CMP: ₹5,475 Resistance Zone: ₹5,560–5,600 Support Zone: ₹5,440–5,450 50 EMA (Purple): ~₹5,450 and acting as support. 1. Range Consolidation The stock has been moving sideways for several sessions. Upper boundary: ₹5,560 Lower boundary: ₹5,430 This is a classic consolidation after a prior uptrend. Such ranges often precede a strong directional move. 2. Buyers Defending Support A positive observation is that: Price has repeatedly bounced from the 50 EMA. Selling pressure is weakening near the lower end of the range. The latest candles are holding above the moving average. That suggests buyers are still active. 3. MACD Current MACD is still below the signal line and below zero. This means: Momentum is weak right now. A bullish MACD crossover along with a price breakout would be a much stronger confirmation. At present, momentum has not yet confirmed the breakout. Key Levels Bullish Trigger A sustained move above: ₹5,560–5,600 with expanding volume would indicate the range has resolved upward. Upside Targets If the breakout occurs: Target 1: ₹5,700 Target 2: ₹5,850 Target 3: ₹6,000 Invalidation The setup weakens if price closes below: ₹5,430–5,440 That would indicate the consolidation is breaking downward instead. Risk-Reward Current price (₹5,475) is still inside the range, so the reward-to-risk is only average. Entering before confirmation increases the chance of getting trapped in another sideways move. Waiting for a breakout above ₹5,560–5,600 with strong volume provides a higher-probability trade.

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