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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

19th Dec Β· SEBI-Registered Analyst

🏒 Phoenix Mills – Weekly Chart | High-Quality Breakout Setup

PHOENIXLTD
🧠 Structure Read (Top–Down) Long-term trend: Clear uptrend since 2023 Impulse leg: β‚Ή600 β†’ β‚Ή2,000 (strong institutional move) Correction: Time-wise, not price-wise (range bound, no damage) πŸ‘‰ This is the best kind of correction for trend continuation. 🧱 Range Analysis (The Box) Range low: β‚Ή1,450–1,500 Range high / supply: β‚Ή1,800–1,820 Duration: ~10–12 months Price repeatedly tested resistance and never broke the base β†’ sellers got exhausted. πŸ”₯ Breakout Confirmation Weekly close above β‚Ή1,800 Close near highs, no rejection wick Breakout happened after higher low formation inside the range This is acceptance breakout, not a false spike. 🎯 Target Projection Range height β‰ˆ β‚Ή350–380 Upside targets: T1: β‚Ή2,050–2,100 T2: β‚Ή2,180–2,250 (matches your projection perfectly) This also aligns with: Round-number psychology Expansion from prior impulse leg Strong real-estate consumption theme πŸ›‘ Risk Management Invalidation: Weekly close below β‚Ή1,760 Major base support: β‚Ή1,650 As long as price stays above β‚Ή1,750, bulls are in control 🧭 Sector & Relative Strength Retail / Commercial RE theme remains strong Phoenix Mills = category leader Institutions prefer quality + visibility β†’ this stock fits perfectly πŸ“Š Trading Plan Swing / Positional: Buy on minor dips toward β‚Ή1,780–1,800 Targets: β‚Ή2,050 / β‚Ή2,200 SL (weekly): β‚Ή1,755 Long-term Investors: Accumulate in 2–3 tranches Expect steady trend, not vertical moves

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