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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

18th Aug 2025 · SEBI-Registered Analyst

"Poonawalla Fincorp: Approaching a Breakout or Rejection?"

POONAWALLA
📊 Technical View 1️⃣ Price Action: Stock has staged a sharp recovery from ~₹290 (200W EMA support) to ~₹470. Currently testing a long-term descending trendline (~₹470–480 zone) which has been acting as strong resistance since 2023. Price action is at a decision point. 2️⃣ Trend Outlook: Short-term: Bullish (higher lows formed from March 2025). Medium-term: Neutral → waiting for breakout confirmation. Long-term: Intact as long as it holds above 200-week EMA (₹287). 3️⃣ MACD Indicator: MACD line above signal line (bullish crossover). Both lines in positive territory → momentum supports further upside. However, histogram showing slight weakening → buyers need strength for a breakout. 4️⃣ Key Levels: Immediate resistance: ₹480 (trendline) Major breakout level: ₹500 Support 1: ₹415 Support 2: ₹287 (200W EMA, very strong base) 📈 Learning Takeaway This is a classic descending triangle resistance test: If breakout above ₹500 happens with volume → strong rally potential. If rejection occurs → stock may pull back toward ₹415–400 zone.

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