Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 30th Oct
Power Grid Corporation – “Cup Formation Breakout: Defensive Power Play ⚡”
POWERGRID
Technical Analysis:
Power Grid is displaying a classic Cup pattern breakout around the ₹295 neckline, backed by steady volume expansion — an early signal of institutional interest returning to the power sector.
Elliott Wave Structure: The stock appears to have completed a wave (2) correction and is now entering wave (3) of a fresh impulsive structure, indicating potential for a strong trending move.
MACD Divergence: The MACD has turned bullish, crossing above the signal line while price consolidates near resistance — often a precursor to sustained momentum.
AVWAP Analysis: The AVWAP from the May 2024 high is now acting as a dynamic support near ₹285, suggesting accumulation at lower levels.
Fundamental Snapshot:
Power Grid remains a defensive leader in the power transmission sector with steady cash flows, high ROE (~18%), and consistent dividend payouts. Expansion into green corridors and inter-state transmission systems supports long-term visibility. The company’s stable regulated business model ensures predictable earnings even in volatile markets.
Summary:
A breakout and close above ₹296 can trigger the next leg towards ₹310–₹325, with a stop-loss below ₹285.
Setup Summary: Cup Breakout + Wave 3 onset + Strong Fundamentals = Low-volatility bullish opportunity for positional traders.