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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

30th Oct · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Power Grid Corporation – “Cup Formation Breakout: Defensive Power Play ⚡”

POWERGRID
Technical Analysis: Power Grid is displaying a classic Cup pattern breakout around the ₹295 neckline, backed by steady volume expansion — an early signal of institutional interest returning to the power sector. Elliott Wave Structure: The stock appears to have completed a wave (2) correction and is now entering wave (3) of a fresh impulsive structure, indicating potential for a strong trending move. MACD Divergence: The MACD has turned bullish, crossing above the signal line while price consolidates near resistance — often a precursor to sustained momentum. AVWAP Analysis: The AVWAP from the May 2024 high is now acting as a dynamic support near ₹285, suggesting accumulation at lower levels. Fundamental Snapshot: Power Grid remains a defensive leader in the power transmission sector with steady cash flows, high ROE (~18%), and consistent dividend payouts. Expansion into green corridors and inter-state transmission systems supports long-term visibility. The company’s stable regulated business model ensures predictable earnings even in volatile markets. Summary: A breakout and close above ₹296 can trigger the next leg towards ₹310–₹325, with a stop-loss below ₹285. Setup Summary: Cup Breakout + Wave 3 onset + Strong Fundamentals = Low-volatility bullish opportunity for positional traders.

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