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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

8th Feb Β· SEBI-Registered Analyst

POWERGRID: Long Consolidation Ends β†’ Wave (3) Expansion Begins βš‘πŸ“ˆ

POWERGRID
Multi-Signal Technical + Structural Analysis (Weekly Timeframe) Big Picture Setup: POWERGRID has spent almost 1.5+ years in a corrective phase, forming a descending triangle / falling wedge–like structure with clearly defined support near β‚Ή250–255. This is classic time correction after a strong impulse, not distribution. Elliott Wave Structure: The rally into 2024 marked completion of Impulse Wave (1) The prolonged sideways-to-down move into early 2026 completed Wave (2) β€” shallow in price, deep in time (very bullish trait) The strong breakout candle above the falling trendline confirms the start of Wave (3) Projected wave path marked clearly: (1) β†’ (2) β†’ (3) β†’ (4) β†’ (5) Breakout Quality & Structure Shift: Trendline connecting multiple swing highs has been decisively broken with a wide-range bullish candle This is not a marginal breakout β€” it shows change in character (ChoCH) from lower highs to higher highs Price is now back above β‚Ή290–295, a level that earlier acted as supply AVWAP / Value Zone Insight: Entire consolidation zone acted as institutional value accumulation Price breaking above this zone indicates acceptance above fair value, a prerequisite for trend expansion Any pullback toward β‚Ή280–285 is likely to be buy-on-dip, not breakdown Momentum Confirmation: The breakout candle shows strong real body, no upper rejection, signaling aggressive participation No visible bearish divergence β€” momentum supports continuation Upside Projections (Wave-Based): Wave (3) target: β‚Ή360–380 Wave (5) stretch target: β‚Ή410–420 These align with classical 1.618 extension of Wave (1) Risk Levels & Invalidation: Immediate support: β‚Ή280–285 Structural invalidation: Weekly close below β‚Ή255 As long as price holds above β‚Ή270, trend remains decisively bullish

#HiddenGems#TrendingSectors#SectorBreakouts#TechnicalViews#FundamentalViews
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