Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) Β· 8th Feb
POWERGRID: Long Consolidation Ends β Wave (3) Expansion Begins β‘π
POWERGRID
Multi-Signal Technical + Structural Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
Big Picture Setup:
POWERGRID has spent almost 1.5+ years in a corrective phase, forming a descending triangle / falling wedgeβlike structure with clearly defined support near βΉ250β255. This is classic time correction after a strong impulse, not distribution.
Elliott Wave Structure:
The rally into 2024 marked completion of Impulse Wave (1)
The prolonged sideways-to-down move into early 2026 completed Wave (2) β shallow in price, deep in time (very bullish trait)
The strong breakout candle above the falling trendline confirms the start of Wave (3)
Projected wave path marked clearly: (1) β (2) β (3) β (4) β (5)
Breakout Quality & Structure Shift:
Trendline connecting multiple swing highs has been decisively broken with a wide-range bullish candle
This is not a marginal breakout β it shows change in character (ChoCH) from lower highs to higher highs
Price is now back above βΉ290β295, a level that earlier acted as supply
AVWAP / Value Zone Insight:
Entire consolidation zone acted as institutional value accumulation
Price breaking above this zone indicates acceptance above fair value, a prerequisite for trend expansion
Any pullback toward βΉ280β285 is likely to be buy-on-dip, not breakdown
Momentum Confirmation:
The breakout candle shows strong real body, no upper rejection, signaling aggressive participation
No visible bearish divergence β momentum supports continuation
Upside Projections (Wave-Based):
Wave (3) target: βΉ360β380
Wave (5) stretch target: βΉ410β420
These align with classical 1.618 extension of Wave (1)
Risk Levels & Invalidation:
Immediate support: βΉ280β285
Structural invalidation: Weekly close below βΉ255
As long as price holds above βΉ270, trend remains decisively bullish