Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 17th Feb
Rallis India Limited
RALLIS
🔹 Structure Shift (Elliott Perspective)
Prolonged impulsive decline from ₹390 → ₹245 (5-wave bearish structure complete).
Sideways rectangular accumulation between ₹245–295 (Phase B accumulation).
Strong expansion candle breaking ₹293 supply zone.
This looks like:
Completion of corrective structure.
Beginning of new impulsive leg (Wave 1 of larger degree).
If this is true Wave 1:
✔ Pullbacks should be shallow
✔ ₹275–280 should act as demand
✔ No sustained close back inside range
🔹 Rectangle Breakout Logic
Range Height:
₹295 – ₹245 = ₹50
Measured Move:
₹295 + ₹50 = ₹345
Your projection near ₹350 aligns perfectly with classical breakout math.
🔹 Momentum Character
What stands out:
Strong wide-range bullish candle
Break above multi-month resistance
Volume expansion (visible surge vs base average)
Close near day’s high
This is expansion behavior, not short covering only.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support: ₹293–295 (old resistance → new support)
Secondary Support: ₹275
Structure Failure: Sustained close below ₹260
As long as ₹293 holds on pullbacks → bullish bias intact.
🔹 Elliott Scenario Map
Bullish Case:
Wave 1: ₹245 → ₹295
Wave 2 pullback: ₹275–280
Wave 3 expansion: ₹330–350
Bearish Case:
False breakout → back inside ₹245–295 range.
Current probability favors bullish continuation.