Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 27th Dec
Range Breakout After Time Correction: Momentum Aligns With Strong Fundamentals
MCL
Price Structure & Elliott Wave Interpretation
The chart highlights a sharp impulsive rally from the lows, followed by an extended sideways consolidation range. From an Elliott Wave lens, this phase fits well as a Wave 4 time-wise correction — price volatility contracted, but the broader trend structure remained intact. The recent decisive breakout above the range high signals the onset of a fresh Wave 5 impulse, typically associated with renewed trend acceleration.
Momentum Insight (MACD Perspective)
Throughout the consolidation, momentum cooled without turning structurally bearish, indicating momentum reset rather than trend damage. This behavior is consistent with bullish divergence characteristics, where price holds higher lows while momentum stabilizes — a setup that often precedes strong upside continuation, now validated by the breakout.
AVWAP & Key Demand Zone
Price repeatedly respected the anchored VWAP from the impulsive breakout zone, acting as a reliable mean support during the entire consolidation. The sustained acceptance above this reference confirms institutional participation. The range high, once resistance, now turns into a key support zone going forward.
Volume Confirmation
The breakout candle is backed by a clear expansion in volume, suggesting genuine accumulation rather than a low-liquidity move. Such volume behavior after a long range often marks the beginning of a trending phase.
Fundamental Strength (Structural Support)
From a fundamental standpoint, the company shows:
Healthy ROCE, reflecting efficient use of capital
Consistent profitability and earnings growth, improving business visibility
Sectoral tailwinds, supporting sustained demand over the medium term
These factors strengthen the probability that the technical breakout can sustain and expand, rather than fade quickly.