Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 17th Oct
Range Breakout Setup Building in Fundamentally Strong Eicher Motors!”
EICHERMOT
🧠 Technical Analysis
Elliott Wave Structure:
After a clear impulsive rally from ₹6,400 to ₹7,100, Eicher Motors has been consolidating in a sideways corrective phase — forming a potential Wave 4 structure. The sideways channel between ₹6,850–₹7,100 represents price accumulation before the next impulsive Wave 5 breakout.
MACD Divergence:
Although MACD is not plotted here, price action indicates hidden bullish divergence on lower timeframes — price is making higher lows while volume momentum remains steady. This often precedes a continuation breakout.
AVWAP & EMA Support:
The stock is holding well above the 26 EMA near ₹6,840, with 200 EMA support at ₹6,570 — both acting as dynamic support zones. The price rejecting lower levels and closing near the upper band of the range indicates accumulation by strong hands.
Volume Analysis:
Gradual decline in volume during the consolidation suggests supply exhaustion. A volume surge above ₹7,100 could confirm breakout momentum.
💼 Fundamental Strength
Eicher Motors remains one of the top fundamentally strong auto stocks:
ROCE above 25%, consistent with industry-leading profitability.
Zero debt and strong cash reserves indicate excellent financial discipline.
Royal Enfield brand strength continues to support long-term growth.
Steady EPS growth and increasing export footprint add to valuation comfort.
🎯 Outlook
If the stock closes above ₹7,120 with volume confirmation, it could trigger a breakout toward ₹7,350–₹7,500 in the short term.
On the downside, ₹6,830 remains critical support — a daily close below it could delay the breakout.