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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

24th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

Range Breakout Setup with Strong Accumulation – Expansion Phase Likely

CGPOWER
The chart of CG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd is showing a well-structured base formation, now approaching a critical breakout zone. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the stock appears to have completed a corrective Wave 4-type consolidation after a prior impulsive rally. The prolonged sideways movement indicates time-wise correction, which is often healthier than sharp price corrections. The recent upward move suggests the potential beginning of Wave 5, typically marked by renewed momentum and participation. Technically, the stock has been trading within a broad rectangular range, with resistance around the ₹870–880 zone. Price is now testing this upper boundary again after forming higher lows, indicating demand absorption at lower levels. A decisive breakout above this zone can trigger a strong expansion move, as it clears a multi-month supply area. On the momentum front, the structure likely includes a bullish MACD shift from the lower end of the range. As price formed a higher low recently, momentum would have strengthened, suggesting increasing buying pressure beneath the surface. From an AVWAP standpoint, the rising average line below price indicates that the stock is consistently trading above its volume-weighted cost basis. This acts as a dynamic support and reflects sustained institutional accumulation over time. Fundamentally, the company has undergone a strong transformation, supported by: Improved operational efficiency and margin expansion Strong order book visibility in industrial and electrical segments Healthy return ratios (ROCE) reflecting efficient capital deployment This alignment of structural turnaround + technical base breakout potential adds weight to the bullish thesis. Conclusion: The stock is on the verge of a breakout from a long consolidation phase. Sustaining above resistance can lead to a sharp momentum-driven move, with the next leg likely fueled by both fresh buying and positional build-up.

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