Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) ยท 16th Apr
๐ Rectangle Breakout with Strong Momentum โ Potential Trend Continuation in Play!
GMDCLTD
๐ Technical + Structural Analysis
After a sustained rally, the stock entered a sideways consolidation phase (Wave 4) forming a clear rectangle pattern. This phase reflects time-wise correction, where price digests previous gains without major downside.
Now, with a strong bullish breakout (likely Wave 5) backed by a wide-range candle and rising volume, the structure suggests continuation towards higher levels.
๐ Elliott Wave Perspective
Wave 1โ3: Strong impulsive move establishing trend direction
Wave 4: Sideways consolidation (rectangle formation)
Wave 5 (ongoing): Breakout with momentum โ potential for fresh highs
This is a textbook impulse โ consolidation โ expansion cycle.
๐ MACD Insight
During consolidation, MACD showed bullish convergence (no major bearish divergence)
Recent breakout likely accompanied by bullish crossover and expansion in histogram, confirming momentum shift
๐ No divergence = trend strength intact
๐ AVWAP (Anchored VWAP) Insight
If AVWAP is anchored from the start of the impulsive move (around Wave 1 or 3 origin), price has consistently respected it as dynamic support
The breakout is happening above AVWAP, indicating strong institutional support
๐ AVWAP acting as a โsmart moneyโ support zone
๐ข Fundamental Strength (Supporting the Move)
Likely backed by:
Strong ROCE (efficient capital usage)
Consistent earnings growth
Sector tailwinds (commodity/mineral-driven demand)
๐ Technical breakout aligned with fundamentals = higher conviction