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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

16th Apr ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

๐Ÿš€ Rectangle Breakout with Strong Momentum โ€“ Potential Trend Continuation in Play!

GMDCLTD
๐Ÿ“Š Technical + Structural Analysis After a sustained rally, the stock entered a sideways consolidation phase (Wave 4) forming a clear rectangle pattern. This phase reflects time-wise correction, where price digests previous gains without major downside. Now, with a strong bullish breakout (likely Wave 5) backed by a wide-range candle and rising volume, the structure suggests continuation towards higher levels. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Elliott Wave Perspective Wave 1โ€“3: Strong impulsive move establishing trend direction Wave 4: Sideways consolidation (rectangle formation) Wave 5 (ongoing): Breakout with momentum โ€” potential for fresh highs This is a textbook impulse โ†’ consolidation โ†’ expansion cycle. ๐Ÿ“‰ MACD Insight During consolidation, MACD showed bullish convergence (no major bearish divergence) Recent breakout likely accompanied by bullish crossover and expansion in histogram, confirming momentum shift ๐Ÿ‘‰ No divergence = trend strength intact ๐Ÿ“ AVWAP (Anchored VWAP) Insight If AVWAP is anchored from the start of the impulsive move (around Wave 1 or 3 origin), price has consistently respected it as dynamic support The breakout is happening above AVWAP, indicating strong institutional support ๐Ÿ‘‰ AVWAP acting as a โ€œsmart moneyโ€ support zone ๐Ÿข Fundamental Strength (Supporting the Move) Likely backed by: Strong ROCE (efficient capital usage) Consistent earnings growth Sector tailwinds (commodity/mineral-driven demand) ๐Ÿ‘‰ Technical breakout aligned with fundamentals = higher conviction

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