Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 20th Jul
Reliance Industries (Daily Chart)
RELIANCE
✅ 1. Descending Trendline
The blue trendline has been respected multiple times:
January peak
May rejection
Current approach
The more times a trendline is tested, the more significant the eventual breakout tends to be.
✅ 2. Price Compression
Over the last few weeks, the candles have become smaller and more tightly packed just below the trendline.
This indicates:
Selling pressure is diminishing.
Buyers are gradually absorbing supply.
Energy is building for a breakout.
This type of compression often precedes a strong move.
✅ 3. Higher Lows
Recent swing lows have progressed approximately as:
₹1,260
₹1,275
₹1,290
₹1,305
This is an early sign that buyers are gaining control even before resistance has been broken.
The Key Level
Current price:
₹1,327
The trendline lies around:
₹1,330–1,335
This is the make-or-break zone.
Bullish Scenario
If Reliance closes decisively above ₹1,335–1,340 with above-average volume, it would confirm a breakout from the descending trendline.
Potential upside targets:
₹1,380–1,400 (first resistance)
₹1,450 (previous swing high)
₹1,500–1,520 if momentum continues
That represents roughly 10–15% upside from the breakout level.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to break the trendline and forms bearish rejection candles (long upper wicks or bearish engulfing), it could revisit:
₹1,300
₹1,280
₹1,250
Until the trendline is broken, the primary trend is technically still down.