Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 9th Apr
SAIL – Massive Cup Breakout Brewing Near Key Resistance 🔥
SAIL
The weekly chart of Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL) is shaping up into a high-potential breakout setup, backed by a strong structural base.
Technical Structure
A large Cup Formation has developed over a long duration
Price is now approaching the critical resistance zone (~₹165–₹170)
The right side of the cup shows steady accumulation with higher lows
This is a classic pre-breakout compression phase, where supply is gradually getting absorbed.
Elliott Wave Perspective
The cup formation aligns well with a Wave 2 / accumulation phase
A breakout above ₹170 can trigger Wave 3, which typically delivers strong upside momentum
Momentum & Price Behavior
Gradual rise → indicates controlled buying, not euphoria
No major rejection near highs → sellers are weakening
Structure shows transition from downtrend → sideways → potential uptrend
Target Projection
Cup depth projection suggests:
Upside Potential: ₹220–₹230 (~30–35%)
This matches the measured move highlighted on the chart.
Key Levels
Breakout Level: ₹170
Immediate Support: ₹150
Strong Support: ₹130
Invalidation: Sustained move below ₹130
Conclusion
SAIL is on the verge of a major structural breakout, supported by:
Long-term cup formation
Strong base building
Gradual momentum pickup
Once ₹170 is decisively crossed, this could turn into a powerful trending move, as large bases often lead to explosive expansions.
This is a classic example of “big base → big move.