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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

10th Feb ยท SEBI-Registered Analyst

Samvardhana Motherson: Cup Completion โ†’ Breakout Triggered ๐Ÿš—๐Ÿ“ˆ

MOTHERSON
Motherson has spent most of 2024โ€“2025 forming a clean rounding base / cup structure after completing a strong impulsive up-move. Left side: Sharp rally into ~โ‚น135โ€“140 Middle: Deep corrective phase into ~โ‚น75โ€“80 (time + price correction โ†’ Wave (4) nature) Right side: Gradual, controlled recovery back to the rim This is textbook Wave (4) โ†’ Wave (5) transition, where: Correction was time-consuming, not trend-breaking No structural damage to long-term trend The weekly close above โ‚น125โ€“127 signals cup completion and start of impulsive expansion. ๐Ÿ”น Price Action Confirmation Breakout came with a strong bullish weekly candle (+7%) Close near highs โ†’ no supply pressure at resistance Prior resistance (~โ‚น125) now flips into structural support This is not a โ€œhope breakoutโ€ โ€” itโ€™s acceptance above a 1.5-year base. ๐Ÿ”น MACD & Momentum Read Weekly MACD is in positive territory Histogram expanding โ†’ momentum acceleration No bearish divergence despite long base โ†’ healthy trend resumption Momentum is aligning with structure, not fighting it. ๐Ÿ”น AVWAP / Cost Zone Logic Price is trading above AVWAP of the entire 2024โ€“25 corrective phase This indicates: Majority participants are now in profit Probability of aggressive selling is low Pullbacks are more likely to be buy-on-dips

#HiddenGems#FundamentalViews#TechnicalViews#WatchOutFor#Todayโ€™sTradingSetup
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