Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) ยท 10th Feb
Samvardhana Motherson: Cup Completion โ Breakout Triggered ๐๐
MOTHERSON
Motherson has spent most of 2024โ2025 forming a clean rounding base / cup structure after completing a strong impulsive up-move.
Left side: Sharp rally into ~โน135โ140
Middle: Deep corrective phase into ~โน75โ80 (time + price correction โ Wave (4) nature)
Right side: Gradual, controlled recovery back to the rim
This is textbook Wave (4) โ Wave (5) transition, where:
Correction was time-consuming, not trend-breaking
No structural damage to long-term trend
The weekly close above โน125โ127 signals cup completion and start of impulsive expansion.
๐น Price Action Confirmation
Breakout came with a strong bullish weekly candle (+7%)
Close near highs โ no supply pressure at resistance
Prior resistance (~โน125) now flips into structural support
This is not a โhope breakoutโ โ itโs acceptance above a 1.5-year base.
๐น MACD & Momentum Read
Weekly MACD is in positive territory
Histogram expanding โ momentum acceleration
No bearish divergence despite long base โ healthy trend resumption
Momentum is aligning with structure, not fighting it.
๐น AVWAP / Cost Zone Logic
Price is trading above AVWAP of the entire 2024โ25 corrective phase
This indicates:
Majority participants are now in profit
Probability of aggressive selling is low
Pullbacks are more likely to be buy-on-dips