Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) Β· 2nd May
π΄ Supply Zone Rejection After Rally β Is Aurobindo Pharma Heading for a Short-Term Correction?
AUROPHARMA
π Technical + Structural Analysis
After a strong upmove, Aurobindo Pharma is now showing signs of exhaustion near a key supply zone:
π Elliott Wave Perspective
The recent rally appears to be a 5-wave impulsive structure, indicating completion of a short-term uptrend.
Price has now entered a distribution phase, forming a potential Wave A of a corrective structure.
The rejection from highs suggests the beginning of an ABC correction, with downside targets in the βΉ1320ββΉ1280 range.
π MACD Insight
Momentum seems to be flattening after a strong bullish phase.
Likely bearish divergence forming, as price made marginal higher highs but momentum failed to confirm.
Early signs of momentum slowdown, indicating reduced buying strength.
π AVWAP Confluence
The highlighted zone (~βΉ1380ββΉ1440) acts as a strong AVWAP resistance cluster from recent swing highs.
Multiple rejections from this zone confirm institutional supply presence.
Immediate support lies near βΉ1340, followed by stronger demand around βΉ1300ββΉ1280 (previous breakout + AVWAP support).
π§ Price Action Context
Formation of lower highs inside the supply zone
Increasing red candles = distribution behavior
No strong bullish follow-through after breakout attempt
π Fundamental Snapshot
Strong player in global generics and API space
Consistent revenue growth, driven by US and emerging markets
Stable margins with improving operational efficiency
Reasonable valuation compared to peers, but near-term price may cool off after rally