Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 19th Jan
Tech Mahindra: Cup & Handle Breakout with Multi-Signal Bullish Setup 📈
TECHM
1️⃣ Elliott Wave Structure – Beginning of a Strong Impulse
The correction from the 2022 peak appears to have completed a Wave 2 retracement.
The rounded base formed from 2022–2024 represents a Wave 3 launchpad.
The recent breakout above the ₹1,600–₹1,650 zone indicates the start of a Wave 3 impulse, which typically delivers the largest price expansion in Elliott theory.
📌 Implication: A sustained move above ₹1,800 can trigger a rally toward ₹2,500–₹2,600, aligning with the projected upside shown on the chart.
2️⃣ MACD Divergence – Momentum Turning Positive
During the 2023 lows, price made lower bottoms, but MACD showed higher bottoms, creating a bullish divergence.
This signals that selling pressure is weakening and buyers are gaining control.
The MACD crossover in early 2025 confirms that the trend has shifted upward.
📌 Implication: Momentum supports the breakout and suggests further upside.
3️⃣ AVWAP Acting as Support
The Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) from the 2022 high is now acting as a key dynamic support level.
Price has bounced multiple times from this AVWAP, confirming it as an institutional accumulation zone.
📌 Implication: As long as price holds above ₹1,600, the uptrend remains intact.