Tech Mahindra Limited
Breakdown Below Major Support – Trend Reversal in Play?
Timeframe: Daily
CMP: ₹1,471
Structure Bias: Bearish continuation
📉 Structure Analysis – Support Turned Resistance
Key observations from chart:
• Strong uptrend from ₹1,400 → ₹1,850
• Sharp rejection near ₹1,850 (distribution zone)
• Breakdown below ₹1,550 (major support)
• Now trading near ₹1,450 demand
₹1,550 was prior consolidation base.
Now price is below 26 / 52 EMA cluster.
Trend has shifted from bullish to corrective.
🌊 Elliott Wave Perspective
Probable structure:
Wave (1): ₹1,380 → ₹1,850
Wave (2): Ongoing correction
Current leg appears impulsive down (Wave A).
If this completes A:
➡ Bounce (Wave B) possible toward ₹1,520–₹1,550
➡ Followed by Wave C decline
Wave equality projection:
₹1,300–₹1,280 zone
Which aligns with your marked downside arrow.
📊 EMA & Momentum Signals
• Price below 26 EMA
• 26 EMA crossing below 52 EMA
• Loss of medium-term momentum
The dotted 225 EMA around ₹1,550 now acts as resistance.
Until price reclaims ₹1,560, rallies are likely to face selling.
📌 AVWAP Logic
Anchoring from recent swing high (~₹1,850):
Price clearly below anchored VWAP.
Every bounce failing near dynamic supply.
Institutions likely distributing above ₹1,550.
🎯 Key Levels
Resistance:
₹1,520–₹1,560
₹1,650
Support:
₹1,450 (current test)
₹1,380
₹1,300–₹1,280 (measured move)
Break below ₹1,440 can accelerate selling.
📊 Fundamental Context
Tech Mahindra:
• Strong telecom exposure
• IT sector sensitive to global tech spending
• Margins cyclical with client budgets
If global IT sentiment weakens, mid-tier IT corrects faster.
Technically, structure suggests mean reversion phase.
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