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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

10th Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

The chart you shared is of Amber Enterprises India Limited

AMBER
1️⃣ Range Distribution at the Top The shaded box on your chart clearly shows a range-bound consolidation between: Resistance: ~₹8,130 Support: ~₹7,300 This type of sideways movement after a sharp rally from ₹5,500 → ₹8,000 often indicates profit booking or institutional distribution. The latest candles show rejection near the upper half of the range, which increases the probability of a move toward the lower boundary. 2️⃣ EMA Structure Current EMA levels visible: EMA 26: ~₹7,414 EMA 52: ~₹7,159 EMA 225: ~₹6,945 Key observation: Price has fallen below the 26 EMA, which is usually the first sign of momentum loss. If selling continues: Next magnet: EMA 52 (~₹7,150) 3️⃣ Measured Move / Range Breakdown Your projected move (~₹950) is technically valid. If the ₹7,300 support breaks, the range height suggests a possible move toward: ₹6,300 – ₹6,400 zone This also aligns near the prior breakout area, making it a natural demand zone. 4️⃣ Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance ₹7,600 ₹7,850 Support Levels ₹7,300 (range support) ₹7,150 (EMA 52) ₹6,900 (EMA 225) ₹6,300 (measured move target) 5️⃣ Probable Scenario Short-term path: ₹7,300 test → Either Scenario A (Most Likely) Breakdown → ₹6,900 → ₹6,300 Scenario B (Bullish invalidation) Strong reclaim above ₹7,700 → ₹7,900 ✅ My View The stock is not weak structurally, but after a 40% rally in a short time, a 10–15% correction is healthy before the next move. Your –13% projection toward ₹6,300 is technically reasonable if the range breaks. 📊 Interesting Insight: This stock often makes V-shaped recoveries because it belongs to the electronics manufacturing theme (PLI / China+1). If correction comes near ₹6,400–₹6,600, it could become a high probability positional entry zone.

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