Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 28th Apr
This is a very clean and high-quality breakout structure in Oil and Natural Gas Corporation.
ONGC
Structure Overview
Long accumulation range: ~230 – 290
Multiple failed attempts near 289 resistance
Now a decisive weekly breakout above that zone
This is not a random move. It’s time + price compression → expansion.
What Makes This Setup Strong
1. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Weekly breakout (not just daily noise)
Base formation lasting ~8–10 months
👉 Longer base = stronger breakout
2. Clean Horizontal Resistance Break
289 was a well-tested supply zone
Now likely to act as demand on pullbacks
3. Sector Tailwind (Very Important)
Oil & gas stocks tend to move in cycles
When they move, they move together
👉 This is not just a stock move, it’s a sector participation signal
Measured Move Projection
Range Height:
290 – 230 = 60 points
Breakout Target:
290 + 60 = ~350
👉 Practical zone: 330 – 350
Execution Plan (How You Should Play It)
Aggressive Entry
Current breakout continuation (near 295–300)
Smart Entry (Preferred)
Retest of 285–290 zone
Invalidation
Weekly close below 275
Behavior Expectation (Important for Clients)
Don’t expect straight rally
Likely path:
Breakout → small pullback → continuation
👉 This is where most retail traders panic and exit early