Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 16th Mar
This is the daily chart of Shriram Finance Limited, and the structure currently suggests a possible support breakdown setup.
SHRIRAMFIN
1️⃣ Trend Context
Before the current fall, the stock had a strong bullish rally:
₹730 → ₹1100
Clear higher highs and higher lows
After touching around ₹1100, the stock started forming lower highs, indicating trend exhaustion.
2️⃣ Key Support Level
The level you marked:
₹960 – ₹965
This level previously acted as:
Breakout level in January
Demand zone multiple times
Now price has retested this level again.
When a support is tested multiple times, it becomes weaker.
3️⃣ Current Price Behavior
Recent candles show:
Strong selling pressure
Lower highs forming
Price moving back to support
This indicates distribution near ₹1050–₹1100.
4️⃣ Breakdown Trigger
If price closes below ₹960, it would confirm a support breakdown.
Once this level breaks, many:
Swing traders exit
Stop losses trigger
This accelerates downside momentum.
5️⃣ Downside Targets
After breakdown, the next supports are:
Level Reason
₹940 Minor demand
₹920 Strong support
₹900 Psychological level
Your arrow pointing toward ₹920 area is technically reasonable.
6️⃣ Bullish Scenario (Invalidation)
Bearish view fails if the stock:
Reclaims ₹1000
Breaks ₹1050
Then the move could turn into a false breakdown trap.
✅ Summary
Factor Observation
Trend Weakening
Key support ₹960
Breakdown trigger Close below ₹960
Downside target ₹920
Your downside projection toward ₹920 zone is technically logical.
📊 Interesting point:
NBFC stocks like Shriram Finance Limited often move fast once key support breaks, because institutional traders use tight stop losses near major levels.