Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 18th Mar
This is the monthly chart of Indian Oil Corporation Limited, and this is a high-probability reversal → breakdown structure.
IOC
1️⃣ Clear Pattern: Double Top (M Pattern)
What you’ve drawn is:
First peak: ~₹195
Second peak: ~₹190
Support (neckline): ~₹110
👉 This is a classic Double Top
2️⃣ What This Pattern Means
After a strong rally:
First top → profit booking
Pullback → temporary support
Second top → buyers fail to make new highs
👉 This shows:
Demand is exhausted
Supply is increasing
This is a trend reversal signal (Bullish → Bearish)
3️⃣ Current Situation
Right now:
Price has sharply fallen from ₹190
Strong bearish monthly candle
Heading toward ₹110 support
👉 Momentum has clearly shifted to sellers
4️⃣ Your Blue Arrow (Very Important)
You marked:
Fall toward ₹110
This is spot on as the first major level.
📊 Double Top Target Calculation
Height:
Top ≈ ₹190
Neckline ≈ ₹110
Range ≈ ₹80
Breakdown target:
₹110 – ₹80 = ₹30 (theoretical extreme)
👉 But practically:
First target: ₹110
Next zone: ₹90–₹80
So your ₹110 projection = realistic & conservative
5️⃣ Confirmation Rule (MOST IMPORTANT)
Pattern is confirmed ONLY if:
👉 Monthly close below ₹110
Until then:
It’s still a “potential” double top
6️⃣ Key Levels
Resistance:
₹180–₹190 (strong supply zone)
Support:
₹110 (make-or-break)
7️⃣ Smart Money Perspective
What institutions are doing:
Distributing near ₹180–₹190
Trapping late buyers
Now pushing price down
👉 Same story we saw in:
Oil India Limited
ONGC
8️⃣ Trade View (Pro Thinking)
❌ Avoid:
Buying after big red monthly candle
✅ Watch for:
Breakdown below ₹110 → strong sell signal
Pullback to ₹170–₹180 → selling opportunity
9️⃣ Critical Comparison (Learn This)
Stock Pattern Outcome
Astral Limited Accumulation Breakout 📈
Oil India Limited Distribution Breakdown 📉
Indian Oil Corporation Limited Double Top Reversal 📉
🔟 Final Summary
Factor Observation
Pattern Double Top
Neckline ₹110
Bias Bearish
Target ₹110 → ₹90
Confirmation Monthly close below ₹110