Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 15th Mar
This is the weekly chart of Hindalco Industries Limited, and the structure you marked is a distribution range after a strong uptrend
HINDALCO
1️⃣ Trend Before the Range
Before the boxed area, the stock was in a strong bullish trend:
Higher highs
Higher lows
Strong momentum from ₹650 → ₹980
After such rallies, stocks often move into consolidation or distribution.
2️⃣ Current Pattern (Distribution Range)
The boxed zone shows a sideways range:
Resistance:
₹970 – ₹980
Support:
₹890 – ₹900
Inside this range:
Multiple rejections from ₹970
Several tests of ₹900 support
This usually indicates supply building at the top.
3️⃣ What the Latest Candle Indicates
The latest candle shows:
Bearish close near ₹910
Price drifting toward range support
This means the stock is testing the lower boundary of the range.
4️⃣ Breakdown Level
Critical level:
₹890
If this breaks on a weekly closing basis, the range will break down.
5️⃣ Downside Target Calculation
Range height:
Resistance ≈ 980
Support ≈ 890
Range ≈ 90 points
Breakdown projection:
890 − 90 ≈ ₹800
This matches your arrow pointing toward ₹800–₹810 zone.
6️⃣ Key Support Levels
If breakdown happens:
1️⃣ ₹860 – minor support
2️⃣ ₹820 – strong support
3️⃣ ₹800 – range target
7️⃣ Bullish Invalidation
Bearish view fails if price:
Breaks ₹980
Closes above ₹1000
Then it becomes a bullish continuation breakout.
8️⃣ Important Context
Hindalco Industries Limited is also highly correlated with metal cycles.
If global metals weaken, breakdown probability increases.