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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

15th Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

This is the weekly chart of Hindalco Industries Limited, and the structure you marked is a distribution range after a strong uptrend

HINDALCO
1️⃣ Trend Before the Range Before the boxed area, the stock was in a strong bullish trend: Higher highs Higher lows Strong momentum from ₹650 → ₹980 After such rallies, stocks often move into consolidation or distribution. 2️⃣ Current Pattern (Distribution Range) The boxed zone shows a sideways range: Resistance: ₹970 – ₹980 Support: ₹890 – ₹900 Inside this range: Multiple rejections from ₹970 Several tests of ₹900 support This usually indicates supply building at the top. 3️⃣ What the Latest Candle Indicates The latest candle shows: Bearish close near ₹910 Price drifting toward range support This means the stock is testing the lower boundary of the range. 4️⃣ Breakdown Level Critical level: ₹890 If this breaks on a weekly closing basis, the range will break down. 5️⃣ Downside Target Calculation Range height: Resistance ≈ 980 Support ≈ 890 Range ≈ 90 points Breakdown projection: 890 − 90 ≈ ₹800 This matches your arrow pointing toward ₹800–₹810 zone. 6️⃣ Key Support Levels If breakdown happens: 1️⃣ ₹860 – minor support 2️⃣ ₹820 – strong support 3️⃣ ₹800 – range target 7️⃣ Bullish Invalidation Bearish view fails if price: Breaks ₹980 Closes above ₹1000 Then it becomes a bullish continuation breakout. 8️⃣ Important Context Hindalco Industries Limited is also highly correlated with metal cycles. If global metals weaken, breakdown probability increases.

#TrendingSectors#TimeToExit#TechnicalViews#FundamentalViews#EquityResearch
HINDALCO_2026-03-14_10-50-47.png
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