Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 14th Mar
This is the weekly chart of Larsen & Toubro Limited, and the candle shown is a very significant technical event.
LT
1️⃣ What Just Happened
The latest weekly candle shows:
Open: ~₹3850
High: ~₹3972
Close: ~₹3439
Move: −12.9% in one week
This is a large bearish engulfing / breakdown candle.
More importantly:
⚠️ Price broke the key support zone near ₹3450–₹3500.
That support had held for almost 1 year.
2️⃣ Moving Average Structure
You are using:
26 EMA
52 EMA
225 EMA
Current situation:
Price broke below 26 EMA
Price broke below 52 EMA
Both were lost in one candle
This indicates strong distribution pressure.
Next major level is the 225 EMA (~₹3045).
3️⃣ Key Support Zones
Immediate Support
₹3260 (previous swing support)
Major Support
₹3050 (225 EMA)
Deep Support
₹2900
Your arrow pointing to ₹3050 is technically very logical.
4️⃣ Why This Fall Is Important
Three bearish signals appeared simultaneously:
1️⃣ Breakdown from consolidation
2️⃣ Large institutional candle
High volume likely
3️⃣ EMA structure damage
Trend momentum lost
When these appear together, price often tests long-term averages.
5️⃣ Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Most Likely)
Price moves toward:
₹3260
then ₹3050
Scenario 2 (Bear Trap)
If price quickly reclaims ₹3500, then the move may become a false breakdown.
But that requires strong buying next week.
6️⃣ Trade Perspective
Bearish Setup
If price stays below ₹3500:
Targets:
₹3260
₹3050
Bullish Recovery Condition
Bullish only if:
Price closes back above ₹3600–3650 weekly
Until then, momentum remains weak.
7️⃣ Bigger Trend Context
Despite this correction:
The long-term trend is still structurally bullish because price is above the 225 EMA.
So this move could become a deep pullback within a larger uptrend.