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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

14th Mar · SEBI-Registered Analyst

This is the weekly chart of Larsen & Toubro Limited, and the candle shown is a very significant technical event.

LT
1️⃣ What Just Happened The latest weekly candle shows: Open: ~₹3850 High: ~₹3972 Close: ~₹3439 Move: −12.9% in one week This is a large bearish engulfing / breakdown candle. More importantly: ⚠️ Price broke the key support zone near ₹3450–₹3500. That support had held for almost 1 year. 2️⃣ Moving Average Structure You are using: 26 EMA 52 EMA 225 EMA Current situation: Price broke below 26 EMA Price broke below 52 EMA Both were lost in one candle This indicates strong distribution pressure. Next major level is the 225 EMA (~₹3045). 3️⃣ Key Support Zones Immediate Support ₹3260 (previous swing support) Major Support ₹3050 (225 EMA) Deep Support ₹2900 Your arrow pointing to ₹3050 is technically very logical. 4️⃣ Why This Fall Is Important Three bearish signals appeared simultaneously: 1️⃣ Breakdown from consolidation 2️⃣ Large institutional candle High volume likely 3️⃣ EMA structure damage Trend momentum lost When these appear together, price often tests long-term averages. 5️⃣ Possible Scenarios Scenario 1 (Most Likely) Price moves toward: ₹3260 then ₹3050 Scenario 2 (Bear Trap) If price quickly reclaims ₹3500, then the move may become a false breakdown. But that requires strong buying next week. 6️⃣ Trade Perspective Bearish Setup If price stays below ₹3500: Targets: ₹3260 ₹3050 Bullish Recovery Condition Bullish only if: Price closes back above ₹3600–3650 weekly Until then, momentum remains weak. 7️⃣ Bigger Trend Context Despite this correction: The long-term trend is still structurally bullish because price is above the 225 EMA. So this move could become a deep pullback within a larger uptrend.

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