Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 17th Mar
This is the weekly chart of Oil India Limited, and this is a classic distribution
OIL
1️⃣ Big Structure First
Phase 1: Strong Uptrend
₹350 → ₹750 rally
👉 Strong bullish phase (smart money entry)
Phase 2: Distribution Zone (Your Box)
Range: ₹350 – ₹500
Time spent: Long consolidation
This is key →
👉 After a big rally, sideways = distribution (not accumulation)
2️⃣ What Smart Money is Doing
Inside the range:
Price repeatedly fails near ₹500
Creates lower highs
Momentum weakens
👉 This shows:
Buyers are getting weaker
Sellers are slowly dominating
This is supply absorption before breakdown
3️⃣ Current Situation
Now look at the right side:
Price again rejected near ₹500
Now moving down toward range support (~₹350)
👉 This is the final stage before breakdown
4️⃣ Your Red Arrow (Very Important)
You marked a fall from:
₹450 → ₹320 zone
This is technically correct logic.
📊 Range Breakdown Target
Range height:
Resistance ≈ ₹500
Support ≈ ₹350
Range = ₹150
Breakdown target:
₹350 – ₹150 = ₹200
👉 Conservative target: ₹300–₹320
👉 Aggressive target: ₹200–₹250
So your arrow to ₹320 is actually a safe target.
5️⃣ Key Breakdown Trigger
Bearish confirmation ONLY if:
Price breaks ₹350 with strong volume
Weekly close below support
Until then → still in range
6️⃣ Important Levels
Resistance:
₹480–₹500 (strong supply zone)
Support:
₹350 (make-or-break level)
7️⃣ Trade Logic (Pro View)
❌ Avoid:
Buying in middle of range (₹400–₹470)
✅ Best Setup:
Sell on:
Rejection near ₹480–₹500
OR
Breakdown below ₹350
8️⃣ Critical Insight (This is Gold)
Compare:
Stock Structure
Astral Limited Accumulation → Breakout
Oil India Limited Distribution → Breakdown
👉 Same “sideways chart”
👉 But context changes everything
9️⃣ Final Summary
Factor Observation
Pattern Distribution
Resistance ₹500
Support ₹350
Bias Bearish
Target ₹320 → ₹250