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CA Omkar Bhutada - SEBI Reg IA

27th Apr · SEBI-Registered Analyst

This NLC India (Weekly) setup is another strong example of time correction → breakout → expansion

NLCINDIA
Structure Breakdown Long consolidation between ~210 – 295 zone Multiple rejections near 295–300 resistance Clean breakout now with a strong bullish weekly close above supply This is a range breakout after long accumulation, which typically leads to directional moves. What Stands Out (Key Observations) 1. Strong Breakout Candle Wide range bullish candle closing above resistance No major rejection wick → indicates acceptance above breakout level 2. Prior Failed Attempts Earlier spikes above 300 were rejected This time price is sustaining, not just spiking That’s the difference between: Liquidity grab (fake) vs Real breakout (current) 3. Compression Before Expansion Price was getting tighter near resistance before breakout Classic sign of energy build-up Important Insight (Where Most People Go Wrong) This is where discipline matters. Yes, it’s a breakout. But it’s also extended in the short term. Chasing here blindly reduces your risk-reward. Probable Scenarios Primary (High Probability) Minor pullback or sideways near 300–310 Then continuation towards: 340–360 zone Extended Move If momentum continues without deep pullback: Possible push towards 370–380 (your measured move aligns here) Risk Scenario If price closes back below 290 → Breakout failure Trade Positioning (Professional Approach) Best Entry: Retest of 300 zone Aggressive Entry: Small quantity on momentum, add on dip Stop Loss: Below 285–290 Add-on Zone: On higher low formation above breakout Comparison Insight (Very Valuable for Your Clients) Compare this with your previous charts: Vardhman Textiles: Already expanding strongly NLC India: Just started expansion phase Meaning: 👉 This is early-stage breakout, not late-stage Final Thought This is a "Patience pays" setup. The edge is not in spotting the breakout. The edge is in entering at the right price after breakout. Most people will enter emotionally here. Smart money waits for confirmation + pullback.

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