Currency Grow (CA & SEBI Reg IA Omkar Bhutada) · 17th Apr
Trendline Breakout Setup in Central Depository Services (India) Limited – Early Reversal Signal
CDSL
Technical Structure (Key Observation)
The stock has been in a clear downtrend, respecting a falling trendline.
Now price is approaching the trendline resistance (~₹1,450–1,500 zone).
Recent bounce from ₹1,120 support shows strong demand absorption.
Price Action Insight
Formation of higher lows after a prolonged decline suggests accumulation beginning.
Sharp bullish candles near resistance indicate aggressive buying interest.
However, price is still below the trendline → breakout not confirmed yet.
Elliott Wave Perspective
The fall looks like a corrective ABC structure.
Current move could be the start of a new impulse (Wave 1 / early Wave 3) if breakout sustains.
Trigger & Confirmation
Breakout Level: ₹1,480–1,520 (trendline zone)
Only a weekly close above this zone confirms reversal
Target Projection (Post Breakout)
Initial Target: ₹1,650–1,700
Extended Target: ₹1,800+
Key Levels
Support: ₹1,250–1,300
Major Support: ₹1,120
Invalidation: Back below ₹1,200 = weakness continues
Smart Interpretation
This is a “prepare, not chase” setup:
Not like cup breakout stocks (already running)
This is where smart money enters before breakout confirmation
Risk is slightly higher, but reward asymmetry is excellent
Verdict
A high-potential early reversal candidate, provided:
Trendline breakout confirms
Volume expansion supports move